Home » AUD » AUD to USD » Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) Exchange Rate Forecast: Credit Rating Cut Concerns Push ‘Aussie’ Lower

Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) Exchange Rate Forecast: Credit Rating Cut Concerns Push ‘Aussie’ Lower

Australian Dollar Currency Forecast

The Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate fell during the local session amid fears that Standard & Poor’s might cut Australia’s AAA credit rating.

Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) Exchange Rate Bolstered by FOMC Minutes

The Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate initially advanced during the North American session as the Federal Open Market Committee published the minutes from its latest policy meeting.

For months bets that the FOMC will vote to increase borrowing costs in the first half of this year have been lending the ‘Greenback’ support. However, this batch of minutes indicated that the Fed might push back rate adjustments in light of the current global economic climate.

The Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate achieved a high of 0.7843

The minutes stated; ‘Many participants indicated that their assessment of the balance of risks associated with the timing of the beginning of policy normalisation had inclined them toward keeping the Federal funds rate at its effective lower bound for a longer time.’

The prospect of an increase in interest rates occurring later in the year initially supported higher-risk currencies like the Australian Dollar, but local reports later saw the South Pacific asset give up these gains.

The Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate hit a low of 0.7753

The Australian Dollar lost nearly half a cent to trade in the region of 77.86 US cents after an article in The Wall Street Journal implied that major ratings agency Standard & Poor’s might cut Australia’s AAA credit rating if the tense global economic situation escalates to a major event.

S&P’s analyst Craig Michaels was quoted as saying; ‘If there is a significant external shock, it’s very likely that would have a significant budget impact like it did in the global financial crisis.’

Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) Exchange Rate Forecast

During the North American session the Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate could fluctuate in response to the publication of the US Initial Jobless/Continuing Claims figures.

The US Leading Indicators measure and the Philadelphia Fed index will also be of interest.

Australian data is in short supply before the weekend but a final flurry of AUD/USD movement could be triggered by the US Markit Manufacturing PMI, which is set to show a decline in manufacturing output.

The Australian Dollar to Pound Sterling (AUD/GBP) exchange rate is currently trending in the region of 0.5041

The Australian Dollar to Euro (AUD/EUR) exchange rate is currently trending in the region of 0.6842

The US Dollar to Australian Dollar (USD/AUD) is currently trending in the region of 1.2849

The Pound Sterling to Australian Dollar (GBP/AUD) exchange rate is currently trending in the region of 1.9830

The Euro to Australian Dollar (EUR/AUD) exchange rate is currently trending in the region of 1.4613

The Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate is currently trending in the region of 0.7781